Cull Cow Market Struggles to Find a Bottom

This week’s article comes from Dr. Derrell Peel at Oklahoma State University. I wrote about the cull cow market a few weeks ago (available here) and I found Dr. Peel’s comments today to be valuable info to add to the ongoing narrative on cull cow markets. Above is a seasonal index for cull cow prices.Continue reading

Low Cull Cow Prices and Complex Culling Decisions

Cattle markets overall have shown impressive strength despite larger supplies during 2018. Feeder steer market averages have been near level or slightly stronger than 2017 levels in many markets over the past few months even in the face of larger calf supplies. USDA-AMS reported national feeder and stocker receipts were around 15 percent higher during August-October 2018 as compared to the same three months during 2017. … Continue reading

Strong Summer Meat Demand

Now that summer is fully behind us, we can get a picture of how strong meat demand was during this time. In short, it was a good quarter for the U.S. economy in general and also for beef and other meat demand. Consumer confidence continued to grow during this time and that boosts consumer spending. The following is a mix of my commentary and that of my colleagues at the Livestock Marketing Information Center. … Continue reading

2019 Forage Insurance Deadline Approaching

The deadline for a relatively new (for Mississippi) subsidized forage insurance program is November 15th for the 2019 year. Forage production is a primary source of grazing and hay for livestock producers and forage production is highly dependent on rainfall. The uncertainty of rainfall amount and timing is a risk all forage producers face. To address this risk, … Continue reading

So What Does an Average American Want in a Farm Bill?

I am really proud of our undergraduate research program at Mississippi State. This past year Alba Collart and I mentored Shea Gould an undergraduate researcher who has now joined our Department as a grad student.  In her undergraduate research she asked a representative sample of 465 U.S. adults their preferences for allocating funds to the programs authorized in a farm bill.  … Continue reading

Meat Prices at the Grocery Store

It is no secret that the price at which retailers can ultimately sell beef and other meats has an enormous impact on the price of cattle. Beef demand is contingent upon quantity sold and the price at which it was sold. The prices of other proteins, namely pork and chicken, have an indirect impact. If pork price gets cheaper compared to beef, … Continue reading

Cattle on Feed Mostly Bullish

The latest USDA Cattle on Feed Report was released on Friday and showed some positive news for prices for the rest of Fall and into early 2019. The inventory is still large. Indeed it is another “record-large” total as 11.4 million head in feedlots is the largest October 1st total since the COF series began in 1996. … Continue reading

Beef Exports Strong … Again

Recent trade data released by USDA-ERS shows that U.S. beef exports have continued their record pace through the month of August. August exports were up 9% over August 2017 and the January-August total is 14.17% above the same period of 2018.  According to data released by USDA and compiled by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF), … Continue reading

Winter Grazing Prospects

The condition of winter grazing pasture in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and surrounding areas has a significant impact on market prices in the Southeast. It is directly tied to demand for calves because good pasture can support more calves while poor pasture conditions lead to fewer calves needed and lower demand. Below is analysis and commentary from Dr.Continue reading

Larger, Lighter Placements

The latest Cattle on Feed Report was released on Friday, September 21 after the markets closed. The Monday reaction today was lower live cattle and feeder cattle futures contract prices. Large supplies continue to be the trend as we saw (yet another) largest-on-record total feedlot inventory. Inventory on September 1st was estimated at 11.125 million head which is the largest for any September 1st since at least 1996 when the data collection began. … Continue reading